Overstatement and Rational Market Expectation
نویسندگان
چکیده
When an agent overstates his/her true performance, a rational market can simply discount the reported performance, and correctly guess the true performance. This paper shows, however, that such rational market discounting leads to less productive effort by the agent and less performance-pay by the principal. Therefore, a rational market and a profit-maximizing principal can exacerbate the lack of productive effort by the agent.
منابع مشابه
Loss of Load Expectation Assessment in Deregulated Power Systems Using Monte Carlo Simulation and Intelligent Systems
Deregulation policy has caused some changes in the concepts of power systems reliability assessment and enhancement. In this paper, generation reliability is considered, and a method for its assessment using intelligent systems is proposed. Also, because of power market and generators’ forced outages stochastic behavior, Monte Carlo Simulation is used for reliability evaluation. Generation r...
متن کاملFraudulent Income Overstatement on Mortgage Applications during the Credit Expansion of 2002 to 2005
Academic research, government inquiries, and press accounts show extensive mortgage fraud during the housing boom of the mid-2000s. We explore a particular type of mortgage fraud: the overstatement of income on mortgage applications. We define “income overstatement” in a zip code as the growth in income reported on home-purchase mortgage applications minus the average IRS-reported income growth...
متن کاملExpectation Shocks
Psychological factors, market sentiments, and shifts in beliefs are believed by many to play a nontrivial role in inducing and amplifying economic fluctuations. Yet, these forces are rarely considered in macroeconomic models. This paper provides an attempt to evaluate the empirical role of expectational shocks on business cycle fluctuations. The paper relaxes the conventional assumption of rati...
متن کاملanalysis of contract law of commercial expectations in patent license
In this research, protection of commercial expectation has been examined. The main question is how we could identify and assess existence of commercial expectations. In response, commercial expectation are acquisition of expectable benefit in market, mass production, absence of technical failure in licensed knowledge and so on. Therefore, it is essential to response by analysis of contract law ...
متن کاملRational Panics, Liquidity Black Holes And Stock Market Crashes: Lessons From The State-Share Paradox
A government policy aimed at the reduction of state shares in state-owned enterprises (SOE) triggered a crash in Chinas stock market. The sustained depression and spillover even after the policy adjustments were over constitute a puzzle the so-called state-share paradox. The empirical study nds evidence in two dimensions. First, a regime switching model with an absorbing state suggests tha...
متن کامل